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Model Performance

Metrics

Plots

Plots - Gains Table

Plots - Gains Table - Train

  Thresholds bucket_size true_positive false_positive true_negative false_negative targets_in_bucket percent_targets_captured lift
Bucket                  
10% 0.998118 1867 1861 6 10364 6443 0.996786 0.224109 2.241569
20% 0.995368 3734 3720 14 10356 4584 0.996251 0.447977 2.240364
30% 0.988573 5602 5580 22 10348 2724 0.996073 0.671965 2.239964
40% 0.429579 7469 6730 739 9631 1574 0.901058 0.810453 2.026295
50% 0.309446 9337 7441 1896 8474 863 0.796937 0.896074 1.792148
60% 0.155067 11204 7933 3271 7099 371 0.708051 0.955323 1.592261
70% 0.092004 13071 8131 4940 5430 173 0.622064 0.979167 1.398895
80% 0.055405 14939 8256 6683 3687 48 0.552647 0.994220 1.242791
90% 0.000000 16806 8304 8502 1868 0 0.494109 1.000000 1.111151
100% 0.000000 18674 8304 10370 0 0 0.444682 1.000000 1.000000

Plots - Gains Table - Test

  Thresholds bucket_size true_positive false_positive true_negative false_negative targets_in_bucket percent_targets_captured lift
Bucket                  
10% 0.998055 466 462 4 2573 1630 0.991416 0.220841 2.212678
20% 0.995432 933 925 8 2569 1167 0.991426 0.442161 2.212699
30% 0.989574 1400 1389 11 2566 703 0.992143 0.663958 2.214300
40% 0.428897 1867 1686 181 2396 406 0.903053 0.805927 2.015466
50% 0.311331 2334 1877 457 2120 215 0.804199 0.897228 1.794839
60% 0.153976 2801 2008 793 1784 84 0.716887 0.959847 1.599974
70% 0.092430 3268 2051 1217 1360 41 0.627601 0.980402 1.400702
80% 0.056583 3735 2079 1656 921 13 0.556627 0.993786 1.242299
90% 0.000000 4202 2092 2110 467 0 0.497858 1.000000 1.111138
100% 0.000000 4669 2092 2577 0 0 0.448062 1.000000 1.000000

Plots - Confusion Matrix

Plots - Gains Chart

Plots - Lift Chart

Plots - Roc Curve

Plots - Precision Recall

Plots - Threshold Curve

Model Interpretation

Coeff Table

  coefficients std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]
intercept -0.014000 0.181000 -0.077000 0.939000 -0.369000 0.342000
risk status_0 -1.575600 0.152000 -10.387000 0.000000 -1.873000 -1.278000
geography_4 0.383500 0.075000 5.135000 0.000000 0.237000 0.530000
geography_2 0.447200 0.086000 5.200000 0.000000 0.279000 0.616000
opportunity type_1 0.265200 0.054000 4.880000 0.000000 0.159000 0.372000
transition from stage name_5 1.150200 0.092000 12.467000 0.000000 0.969000 1.331000
transition to stage_5 -22.825700 2296.226000 -0.010000 0.992000 -4523.346000 4477.694000
product quantity 0.000001 0.000000 1.121000 0.262000 -0.000000 0.000001
cost_per_unit -0.000200 0.000000 -0.826000 0.409000 -0.001000 0.000000
geography_3 0.347600 0.073000 4.743000 0.000000 0.204000 0.491000
product $ -0.000000 0.000000 -0.347000 0.729000 -0.000000 0.000000
transition from stage name_3 1.868000 0.059000 31.410000 0.000000 1.751000 1.985000
core consumption market_4 -0.195900 0.055000 -3.551000 0.000000 -0.304000 -0.088000
days -0.004100 0.000000 -11.925000 0.000000 -0.005000 -0.003000
time taken for transition -0.000000 0.000000 -7.257000 0.000000 -0.000000 -0.000000
transition from stage name_4 7.464100 0.209000 35.698000 0.000000 7.054000 7.874000
product status_1 -0.824900 0.081000 -10.190000 0.000000 -0.984000 -0.666000
product status_0 0.442900 0.101000 4.386000 0.000000 0.245000 0.641000

Error Analysis

Error Analysis - Residual Analysis

Error Analysis - Residual Analysis - Errorbucket Profiles

Error Analysis - Residual Analysis - Errorbucket Profiles - Time Taken For Transition

Error Analysis - Residual Analysis - Errorbucket Profiles - Days

Error Analysis - Residual Analysis - Errorbucket Profiles - Categorical

Feature Importance - From Model